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如果美国卖一艘航母给台湾会怎样?quora网友评

------------译者:卡思-5JrQuora中文网

I know that the US is arming Taiwan with old ships but what would happen if Taiwan is sold a nuclear submarine or aircraft carrier would PRC want to attack more or get them to back off?5JrQuora中文网

据我所知美国在台湾的武装军备用的是旧船舰,但是如果卖给台湾一艘核潜艇或航空母舰,中国会想要发起更多攻击还是会退缩呢?5JrQuora中文网

9d9e0d8fgy1fglp1p97qhj20ip09u118.jpg5JrQuora中文网

美版知乎quora网友讨论
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-------------译者:卡思-5JrQuora中文网

John Yau
Answered Thu
The US has already sold Taiwan a carrier: the USS Shangri-la CV-38. It was sold to Taiwan for scrapping.5JrQuora中文网

美国已经出售给了台湾一艘航空母舰:香格里拉号CV-38。它是作为报废品卖给台湾的。5JrQuora中文网

Taiwan would not know what to do with an aircraft carrier and even if gifted a state of the art Ford class super carrier would likely just politely return the gift. Though if the super carrier came with a full complement of fighter jets Taiwan would keep the fighter jets.5JrQuora中文网

台湾不知道该如何处理航空母舰,即使送给它最先进的福特级超级航空母舰,台湾也可能会礼貌地退回这份礼物。即使超级航母配备了完整的战斗机,台湾也只能放着这些战斗机不用。5JrQuora中文网

Operating a carrier is enormously expensive! Furthermore carriers do not serve the military obxtives of Taiwan. Taiwan does not seek to project power beyond its shores. Even if Taiwan decided to operate a carrier without the usual escort fleet of missile destroyers and attack submarines a carrier alone out at sea is a sitting duck. A Taiwanese carrier would just be a big expensive soft target for the PLN. In fact if I were the Chinese if there’s a chance the gambit would succeed I would lobby the US Congress to sell Taiwan a super carrier. Buying and running the carrier would be so expensive that Taiwan would not be able to buy swarms of much more useful arms such as this:
http://www.janes360.com/images/a...5JrQuora中文网

运行一艘航母是非常昂贵的!此外,航母不会用于台湾的军事争端中。台湾也不打算部署海外力量。即使台湾决定在没有常规护卫舰队的导弹驱逐舰和攻击潜艇的情况下启动航母,独自出海的航母也是一只坐以待毙的鸭子。台湾的航母对于解.放.军来说只是一个昂贵的软目标。事实上,如果我是中国人,如果这个策略有可能成功的话,我会游说美国国会向台湾出售超级航母。因为购买和运行航母是如此昂贵,以至于台湾将无法再购买像这样的更为有用的武器:5JrQuora中文网

-------------译者:卡思-5JrQuora中文网

Mark Knight Began learning to fly a plane at age 13 yrs 10 months.
Answered Jun 5
Mark Knight 13岁零10个月开始学习驾驶飞机。
6月5日回答5JrQuora中文网

Taiwan wouldn’t buy an aircraft carrier.5JrQuora中文网

台湾是不会买一艘航母的。5JrQuora中文网

An aircraft carrier is of little use in a defensive battle of the kind Taiwan might need to fight against mainland China and would be sunk very quickly if they tried to use it that way. Taiwan has no long-range force-projection needs only a need to defend their airspace and lands against air attack and possible amphibious invasion attempts. For this kind of battle they need a lot of air-defence equipment to combat the Chinese air forces and anti-ship missiles and hunter-killer submarines to combat the Chinese naval forces.5JrQuora中文网

在台湾可能需要对抗中国大陆的防御战争中,航母将毫无用处,如果台湾把它用在这里它将会很快沉没。台湾没有远程投射能力,只需要保卫自己的领空和陆地,免受空中攻击和可能的两栖入侵企图。在这种战斗中,他们需要大量的防空设备来对抗中国空军,还有需要反舰导弹和猎人杀手潜艇来打击中国海军。5JrQuora中文网

So hunter-killer submarines and a huge number of anti-ship missiles would interest them along with a larger and more capable set of air defences to combat Chinese missiles and aircraft. This should in my opinion be provided.5JrQuora中文网

因此,猎人杀手潜艇和大量反舰导弹将会使他们感兴趣,同时配备一个更大更强大的防空系统来对付中国的导弹和飞机。我认为这才是应该提供的。5JrQuora中文网

-------------译者:卡思-5JrQuora中文网

Howard C. Berkowitz A few decades as a student of and consultant esp. C3ISR; wrote much on Wikis5JrQuora中文网

Howard C. Berkowitz 做一个学生和求教者几十年,C3ISR;在维基上写过很多。5JrQuora中文网

Answered Jun 5 R26; Upvoted by Richard Ashmore Active Duty in the U.S. Navy for >20 years.5JrQuora中文网

6月5日回答;Richard Ashmore 在美国海军服役超过20年推荐此回答。5JrQuora中文网

What would be the mission of either? Again and again on Quora people ask about specific pieces of hardware. rather than beginning with an operational requirement.
There’s also the question of even if Taiwan had these how long would it take for them to become operationally effective?5JrQuora中文网

两者的使命分别是什么? Quora上的网友们一而再再而三地问道具体的硬件问题。却从不从操作要求开始谈起。
还有一个问题,即使台湾拥有这些装备,要花多长时间才能使它们有效运作?5JrQuora中文网

-------------译者:ygytnt1001-5JrQuora中文网

Peter Mason Blue Collar
Answered Jun 6
The Chinese government would protest and issue sternly worded warnings. But it would be holding it’s hand over it’s mouth to conceal the smile. An aircraft carrier would be worse than useless to a small nation ( or breakaway province from the Chinese perspective ) like Taiwan. It would be a crushing financial burden and the military wouldn’t know what to do with it.5JrQuora中文网

中国政府将坚决反对并提出严正交涉,然后掩面偷笑。一艘航母对一个像台湾这样“小国家”(或中国的一个叛乱省份)毫无用处。只会拖垮财政,军队也不知道用它能干啥。5JrQuora中文网

-------------译者:ygytnt1001-5JrQuora中文网

Joe Montgomery former Corporal at U.S. Marine Corps (2009-2013)
Answered Jun 5
If the US offered to sell Taiwan an aircraft carrier Taiwan would most likely not buy it. If the US gave it to Taiwan as a gift Taiwan would not accept it. the cost of operating a modern aircraft carrier is monumental this without taking into account the facilities personnel and logistics as well as the geo political implications . for Taiwan it is simply not worth it as well as it just costs too much.5JrQuora中文网

如果美国卖,台湾可能不会买。如果美国送,台湾也不会要。养现代航母的投入非常可观,这还不算配套的设备、人员、后勤以及地缘政治的博弈。对台湾来说还不如没有。5JrQuora中文网


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